Monthly Archives: March 2016

Dual Electoral System

42nd Federal election results

Party

Liberal

Cons

NDP

Bloc

Green

Ind

Seats

184

99

44

10

1

0

Dual

301

223

128

21

2

1

House votes

54%

29%

13%

3%

0.3%

0%

Dual votes

51%

29%

18%

3%

0.5%

0.1%

With Liberal/Cons members elected the NDP & Bloc & Green go to the Liberals

Liberal/NDP members elected the Bloc & Green to NDP , Cons 2/3 to Liberals

Cons/NDP members elected the Liberal & Bloc & Green to the NDP

Liberal/Bloc members elected the NDP & Green & Cons 1/2 to each

NDP/Bloc members elected the Liberal & Green to NDP , Cons 1/2 to each

Dual Electoral System

A preference ballot is used for voting. The candidate with the number one on a ballot gets one vote. The two candidates with the most votes are elected. The ballots are counted a second time with the elected candidate with the lower number getting one vote. Each elected member will have one ” member vote ” in the House to be used in regular sessions and one ” legislative vote ” for each vote received on the second count of the ballots. These votes are voted when the House is in legislative session and is used to pass, what else, legislation! One day a week is set by the Commons for the legislative session and any bills requiring third reading are voted on during that session.

The main drawback of this system is if you keep the same number of ridings you will double the number of members or having the same number of members will double the size of the electoral ridings.

Benefits of the Dual Electoral System

  1. Guarantee of an opposition since no party can have more than 50% of the members.
  2. In regular sessions the members have one vote each so there will be non-partisan voting on the election of the Speaker, rules of the House (2/3 majority), procedural motions and committee membership.
  3. In legislative session you will have proportional representation since each member will have one vote for each vote received on the second count of the ballots.
  4. No party lists since your still voting for the Member of Parliament of your choice. One MP represents the majority vote in a riding and the other MP the main minority vote.
  5. No major revision of the electoral map. Ridings should only be altered when the number of electors in a riding is 50% or less of the number of electors in the largest riding. Each election few if any ridings will change. This will mitigate the political fighting over riding boundaries or size for the purpose of any real or imagined partisan gain.
  6. An incentive to vote since the more votes an MP gets the more votes they have on voting on legislation. Also ridings will increase their voting strength in the House if their voting turn out is higher than the average.
  7. All votes do count! If your first choice doesn’t get elected then one of the two candidates who did get elected will get to vote your vote because of the preference ballot.

If the dual electoral system were to be used it would have to be decided what the maximum size of the House of Commons should be. A House of Commons of 300 members would give you 150 ridings electing 2 members each. This results in an 11% reduction in the size of the Commons and a 125% increase in the size of the ridings. The Party standings in such a House would roughly be 134 Liberals, 99 Conservatives, 57 NDP, 9 Bloc, and 1 Green.

You can try it before you buy it by forming the House advisory council. This council to consist of the top two candidates for each riding. This giving a council of 676 members all having one vote in regular session. All the other candidates in each riding transfers their popular votes to one of the council members from their riding. This added to their own gives the number of votes they have in the council in legislative session. The Council in regular session advises the Commons on procedural votes and in legislative session advises the House on the passage of legislation.

 

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Jean Lapierre

images.duckduckgo.comhttp://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/magdalen-islands-plane-crash-1.3510975

I remember meeting this man when he was a Liberal MP in the 1980s. Saw the news post earlier but only just now saw elsewhere that Lapierre was on the plane and died on his way to his father’s funeral. Deepest condolences to the Lapierre family who now have to deal with another loss in this sudden and tragic manner.

Learn this morning the day after it’s not just him but his wife, a sister, and 2 brothers going to that funeral. The tragedy is complete.

“She lost almost all the family … and the husband, in a few days.… It’s horrible, just horrible,” Gilles Duceppe

Base Wage

queen-s-park

 

 

The Ontario public service wage act

http://www.cbc.ca/beta/news/canada/toronto/ontario-sunshine-list-1.3505138

The wages of all who work in the public service whether in the executive, bureaucracy, legislature, or judiciary should be based upon what is happening to those who pay those wages, namely the taxpayers. The concept of the base wage is simple for the proceeding year calculate the average income of those who are not retired. This is to exclude those who work for any level of government. Figure out the average monthly unemployment rate to two figures for that year. Reduce the average income by the unemployment rate and divide by 52. This gives you the base wage for that municipality, province, or the nation.

From StatsCan I got the following figures for the province of Ontario for 2015. Average annual wage of $50,781 and an average unemployment rate of 6.8%. The equation is (50,781 – 6.8%) / 52 = 910.15. The base wage is the first number to two significant figures that is equal to or greater than that amount which in this case is $920.

All salaries within the provincial government of Ontario would be paid an amount that is a percentage of the Ontario base wage of $920. It is calculated for the proceeding year and takes effect starting the first pay check on or after July first of every year. If unemployment goes up the public wages go down and if it goes down then those wages go up. If the average income of the taxpayers go up so does the base wage and if it goes down then on July the first so does the salaries of all public employees, top to bottom. I would set an amount that the wages can not go below.

For example set the general office worker at 65% the base wage. After 1 year it’s to go up to 70%, after 3 years to 75%, 5 years in the public service 80%, 10 years to 85%, and after 20 years it goes to the maximum of 90%. The process being the wages for any job classification starts at a certain percentage and increase for experience and seniority to a maximum after a set number of years. Those that are a specific position like premier or MLA or deputy minister for transport is a set percentage that doesn’t change.

Federal budget

bill-morneauI don’t mind the budget deficit but the amount is to high. Our debt is around 600 billion and inflation is 2% with real growth of 2%. What the Liberals have done is maintain our debt to GDP ratio at the same amount or increased it. Allowing for the debt to go up 2% gives you a deficit half of what the government is going to do. The debt goes up at the rate of inflation so in constant dollar terms it’s frozen. Since there is real growth beyond that the debt to the size of our economy actually shrinks by a small amount. The pie plate gets bigger by 2% but the pie itself remains the same and so is smaller in relation to the plate.

Reduction of the debt to GDP ratio by attrition. These days it seems the idea of something in the middle is too moderate and we end up with going to far one way or the other. Either the constipated fiscal conservatives or the “let it flow” liberal spenders.

Real Change Senate Appointments

g3403http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/senate-appointments-liberal-1.3496977

Just like Harper with Viceregal appointments the new Political Monarch (PM) creates a process for Senate appointments that doesn’t remove the PM of the day out of that process. The more things change the more the remain the same. The process is created by the PM of the day, changed by the PM, or cancelled at the pleasure of the PM and it still has the PM making the appointments so they can simply ignore the very process they create.

By an Act of Parliament the Governor-General makes Senate appointments on the advice of the House advisory council. This body is the top two candidates in each riding in the last election giving you the following membership.

Party

House seats

Council seats

% on council

Liberal

184

301

45%

Cons

99

223

33%

NDP

44

128

19%

Bloc

10

21

3%

Green

1

2

0.3%

Ind

0

1

0.1%

When a Senate seat goes vacant the two members from the same riding of any riding in that province or territory can nominate someone for appointment. The House advisory council by secret ballot votes yes or no for each candidate. To be recommended for appointment takes an absolute 2/3 majority (451) voting yes for that nominee. In the event of more then one getting 451 votes the one with the most votes is appointed. If there is a tie then the Governor-General has personal discretion to choose which of the tied nominees to appoint.

A non-partisan vote since no party can have more than 50% of the seats. The PM of the day will not create a process that removes the PM (Political Monarch) from the appointment process BECAUSE it removes the PM from the appointment process.

Super Tuesday 3

supertuesdayIt’s will be Hilllaryyyy and the DONALD!!

The chances that Senator Sanders can win everything remaining by 60%+ of the vote is non existent. All the remaining GOP primaries are winner takes all so Mr. Trump must lose most of them to be denied a majority of the delegates and virtually all of them to not have the most delegates. Do WKRP turkeys fly?

Super Tuesday 2

supertuesdayIt will be Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, but with fine print at the bottom.

 

  1. Hillary unless Sanders can start winning most every primary by solid majorities of 10-20 points over Clinton.
  2. Donald unless he starts losing the majority of the primaries to the other candidates.