50/50

image10An interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2012. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

Obama 65,916,000 votes / Romney 60,934,000 votes / Equal votes for each 63,425,000

Multiple Obama’s  vote by 0.9622 / Multiple Romney’s vote by 1.0409 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Florida and Ohio go from Obama to Romney. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

Obama got 332 electoral votes (62%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 285  electoral votes (53%).

Romney got 206 electoral votes (38%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 253 electoral votes (47%).

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Hypocrisy

Canada's PM Trudeau speaks during a news conference in Ottawa

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/citizenship-revocation-trudeau-harper-1.3795733

As I said before “Some are better, some are worse, but in the end, they are all the same” The best ones admit that they are doing a 180º from what they said in the election and explain why they are doing so. What Mr.Trudeau is doing is the usual spin we get after the election for campaign promises are used to get what you want and forgotten about afterwards. Same Old, same old. The part that bothers me the most about this is that you can be deprived of your citizenship without any hearing. Something to do with a quaint old-fashioned notion of “Your innocent until proven guilty”.

 

Brexit

brexitI’m a little surprised that the UK voted to leave the European Union. But the citizens are the owners and if that’s their choice then that’s their choice. Hopefully everyone who wanted to vote got to vote. A 73% voter turnout which means with the result that 38% of all voters voted to leave. Big picture and long term the citizens of the UK are going to find it wasn’t a smart decision. Decision based more upon how you feel about it then any rational and factual bases do tend to be at best for short term advantage and nothing more.

Same old, same old

TE“Some are better, and some are worst, but in the end they are all the same.”

 

A question I haven’t heard in the comments on Mr. Trudeau’s action is Why was he out of his chair in the first place? The complete and total hypocrisy of any comments from any member of the Conservative party is lost on them.

Just like what I recommend for dealing with confirmation of appointments should be done for legislation. There is a set period of time for debate. The Commons by super majorities can shorten that debate and by minorities lengthen that debate. Something like this.

  • Automatic vote on a bill 180 days after introduction, unless the following
  • By a vote of 90% of the full House (303) bill is voted on 30 days after introduction
  • By a vote of 75% of the full House (252) 60 days
  • By a vote of 67% of the full House (224) 90 days
  • By a vote of 60% of the full House (202) 120 days
  • By a vote of 50% of the full House (168) 360 days
  • By a vote of 33% of the full House (112) 270 days
  • By a vote of 25% of the full House (84) 240 days
  • By a vote of 10% of the full House (34) 210 days

The Liberals by themselves don’t have the votes to bring a bill to a vote faster then the set 180 days. The opposition combined could set a bill vote back to 9 months after being introduced. The conservatives alone could lengthen the debate to 8 months and the NDP by itself to 7 months. If the Liberals got the agreement of the NDP they could pass a bill 90 days after it being introduced and with the Conservatives 60 days after introduction.

The majority can’t ram through and the minority can’t block.

“The power of democracy is vested in the majority and in the minority it’s principle.” Barry Aulis

First Election

Fair_Vote_Canada_logoI ran for a seat on the National council for Fair vote Canada. 15 candidates with 8 being elected to seats on the council. I came in 14th out the 15 candidates.

“If you can’t accept losing then you shouldn’t run in the election.”

Note that the DONALD!!! demands he get supported now by the GOP but never firmly committed to support the GOP ticket if he wasn’t the nominee and has gone to threaten violence if he isn’t. Warning signs are all there. Time for the “establishment” to stop giving any support to this man!

Presiding at Conventions

images.duckduckgo.comNow Mr. Ryan has to toady up to the DONALD!!! or else.

Again a different way of doing things. In the Federalist Party there would be a National by-law called the National Convention By-law that would govern the way the Party’s national conventions are held. How do you get a national by-law? By a 2/3 majority vote of the National Assembly, or a 60% vote in the Assembly and National Congress, or a majority vote in the Assembly, Congress, and National council. The Assembly is all Party members who registered for the Assembly. The Congress is the top 2 candidates for the Party’s nomination for the House of Commons. The National council is the Party leadership and appointed members.

For presiding officers there would be 4. One is elected every 4 years by the National Assembly. The term of office is 16 years and no re-elections. The most senior gets to be the President of the conventions held during their 4 year term as the most senior. The second in seniority will be the Vice-president for those same 4 years. The other two are the senior and junior assistants to the convention president. No person who holds public office can be one of these presiding officers. It should be a way of honouring those who have worked for the Party and are capable of handling such duties. Chosen by the Party membership and to serve ALL that membership in this roll within the Party.

Irish Government

EndaKennyIn a vote 70 days after the General election in February the Irish Republic has a minority government.

https://federalistpartycanada.wordpress.com/2016/03/07/government-formation-2/

The above is a link to a post after that election detailing a different process on government formation. The fourth Monday after the vote the lower House of the Irish parliament meets to swear in the members and elect it’s speaker. The newly elected speaker puts the question to the House “who should the Irish President call upon to form a government?” Names comes from the floor and if they get 5% of the House (8) endorsements they get called upon to form a  government-designate of 7 to 15 members. If there are more then 4 such nominated individuals the House then votes to endorse one candidate for Prime minister with the four with the most votes getting endorsed. Tuesday the nominated PM-designates are invited by the President to form a government. All of this is worked out even before Parliament meets. On Wednesday, 27 days after the election the Question is put to the House “Who does this House have confidence in to form a government of the Republic of Ireland?” The 2 councils with the least votes form shadow councils in the House. The top two go to a second ballot and the winner becomes the Council of Ministers in that Parliament and the runner up the Council of Opposition. Thursday the shadow councils are swore in before the House and on Sunday the Council of Opposition then the Council of Ministers is sworn in to office at Government House.

A government is in office for the duration of Parliament with no confidence motions. A minister may be dismissed at any time by  a 60% majority vote with quorum. The Prime minister can be dismissed at any time by an absolute 60% majority (95). The House can trigger another government formation vote like the one at the start of each Parliament this takes an absolute two thirds majority vote (105). A new election happens ONLY by a motion of dissolution passed by an absolute three quarters majority vote (118).